Cost estimation of construction projects is a very complex process
containing many variable factors. This skill is not easily acquired. The
proper study, training and experience are needed to become proficient
in construction project cost estimating.
There are several
categories that can have significant impacts on project costs. The
estimator should be aware of them and properly evaluate their effects,
prior to finalizing the cost estimate. Following points helps in project
cost estimating:
1) Similar Projects: The best references
for cost estimation are similar projects. Final cost items and related
expenses of similar projects helps in estimation which are invaluable.
2) Material Costs: Costs for materials and supplies, plus shipping charges are required prior to starting estimation process.
3) Wage Rates: Local labour rates or as specified by local government is taken for calculation of labour costs for project.
4) Site Conditions:
Project site conditions that can increase construction costs are: poor
soil conditions, wetlands, contaminated materials, conflicting utilities
(buried pipe, cables, overhead lines, etc.), environmentally
sensitivity area, ground water, river or stream crossings, heavy
traffic, buried storage tanks, archaeological sites, endangered species
habitat and similar existing conditions.
5) Inflation Factor:
The presence of inflation is always a factor that can be extremely
variable. When utilizing previous, similar projects as a primary basis
for estimating, consider the Construction Cost Index as published in the
Engineering News Record. This nationwide tabulation of the construction
industry has been continuously recorded for decades.
6) Bid Timing: The
timing of the bid opening can have a significant impact on obtaining a
low bid. Seasonal variations in construction activity and conflicts with
other bid openings are critical factors.
7) Project Schedule: The
construction schedule can certainly affect the cost. If the project
requires too aggressive of a time frame, generally the price increases,
especially if there is a significant liquidated damages condition for
failure to complete within a specified deadline. Conversely, if the
award notice is beyond a reasonable time and the notice to proceed is
indefinite, the contractors fear inflation of material costs and may
have other projects that have priority. Therefore, most bidders will
inflate their bids to protect against these conditions. Any time beyond
60 days may result in higher bids.
8) Quality of Plans & Specifications:
There is no substitute for well-prepared plans and specifications. It
is extremely important that every detail and component of the design be
properly executed and fully described. Any vague wording or poorly drawn
plan not only causes confusion, but places doubt in the contractor’s
mind which generally results in a higher bid.
9) Reputation of Engineer:
If the project engineer or engineering firm has a good sound
professional reputation with contractors, it is reflected in reasonably
priced bids. If a contractor is comfortable working with a particular
engineer, or engineering firm, the project runs smoother and therefore
is more cost-effective.
10) Granting Agency: If a granting
agency is involved in funding a portion of the project, contractors will
take this into consideration when preparing their bids. Some granting
agencies have considerable additional paperwork that is not normally
required in a non-funded project. Sometimes this expected extra
paperwork elevates the bid.
11) Regulatory Requirements:
Sometimes there are conditions in regulatory agency approvals that will
be costly to perform. Therefore, to be completely above-board with
potential bidders, it is strongly recommended that copies of all
regulatory approvals be contained in all bidding documents.
12) Insurance Requirements:
General insurance requirements, such as performance bond, payment bond
and contractors general liability are normal costs of doing business.
However, there are special projects that require additional coverage.
Railroad crossings are a prime example. Insurance premiums for these
supplemental policies add to the project cost and must be considered up
front.
13) Size of Project: The size and complexity of a
project determines if local contractors have the capacity to execute the
work. The larger and more intricate the proposed project is, the more
it will potentially attract the attention of a broader number of
prospective bidders. This is good for competition, but may increase
mobilization costs.
14) Location of Work Site: The location
of the proposed work can be a significant component in developing a
realistic cost estimate. A rural setting usually has a limited labour
force skilled in the construction trades. Therefore, the contractor must
import tradesmen and generally pay per diem expenses; i.e., out-of-town
lodging and related costs. Additionally, remote settings increase the
charges for material shipment.
15) Value Engineering: Some
agencies mandate that multi-million dollar projects perform a value
engineering review, prior to finalizing the design or commencing the
bidding process. Therefore, the estimator should be aware of this factor
early in the process.
16) Contingency: The rule-of-thumb
has historically added a 10% contingency on the construction total to
cover those unforeseen costs that crop up as a project evolves. During
times of high inflation or the limited amount of key construction
materials and supplies, it is wise to increase the contingency to 15% or
20% for a more realistic estimate and provide a safety factor.
17) Supplemental Studies & Investigations:
As stated in Item 4, some project sites will require special studies
and/or investigations. Costs for this special work should be included in
the initial cost estimate to avoid future surprises.
18) Judgement:
In the final analysis, the best component of a good cost estimate is
the art of practicing sound technical judgement. This factor is acquired
by experience and the mentoring of senior personnel.
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